The UFC’s return to Mexico City on March 29, 2025, features an intriguing bantamweight bout between rising prospect David Martinez and veteran grappler Saimon Oliveira.
David Martinez vs. Saimon Oliveira – Odds
The betting odds for the upcoming UFC Mexico City fight between David Martinez and Saimon Oliveira heavily favor Martinez. As of the latest odds, Martinez is a significant favorite with moneyline odds ranging from -375 to -420 across various sportsbooks, while Oliveira is the underdog with odds between +290 and +310. Check out slots online for more games.
Regarding the method of victory, the odds suggest that a finish is more likely than the fight going the distance. The “Fight Doesn’t Go to Decision” prop is priced at -140, while “Fight Goes to Decision” is at +100. David Martinez is favored to win by KO/TKO, with odds around +160, while his odds to win by a decision are slightly longer at +140 to +145. Oliveira’s best chance for victory, according to the odds, is by submission, priced at +700 to +800, though this is still considered unlikely.
The odds have seen some movement over time, with Martinez’s price slightly shortening. He opened at -400 and has moved to as low as -480 in some books, indicating growing confidence in his chances. Conversely, Oliveira’s odds have drifted slightly, opening at +275 and moving out to +330 in some places. This movement suggests that bettors and oddsmakers have become increasingly bullish on Martinez’s prospects as the fight approaches.
For Martinez, maintaining distance and utilizing his superior striking will be crucial. His home crowd advantage and momentum as an undefeated prospect since 2021 could provide an additional edge. Oliveira needs to close the distance, initiate grappling exchanges, and seek submissions, particularly his favored guillotine choke. His experience and finishing ability make him dangerous, especially in the early rounds.
Saimon Oliveira, a 33-year-old Brazilian, enters the bout with an 18-5 record but is seeking his first UFC win after two losses in the promotion. With his career at a crossroads, Oliveira aims to showcase his grappling skills and revitalize his UFC tenure. David Martinez, a 26-year-old Mexican fighter, makes his highly anticipated UFC debut with an impressive 11-1 record.
This clash of styles promises an exciting addition to the UFC Mexico City card, with both fighters having much to prove in the competitive bantamweight division. The betting market clearly expects Martinez to make a strong UFC debut, capitalizing on his striking skills and momentum from his recent victories.
